Today's Bitcoin dashboard, in plain text

General Index — the verdict what is this?

• General Score -0.2614 → "Bearish Zone - Fairly Good Entry/Buy Zone"
• Stablecoin Supply: score -0.65, "Bearish", weight 6%
• 14 Day RSI: score -0.5, "Oversold", weight 5%
• ETFs Flow: score -0.4, "Bearish", weight 8%
• Perps & Fundings: score 0, "Neutral", weight 1%
• Geopolitics, Macro & Others: score -0.20, "Neutral Macro Markets", weight 10%
• 50 vs 200 (DMA): score 0.25, "Weak Bull Trend", weight 18%
• Monthly RSI: score -0.5, "Oversold", weight 18%
• Power Law: score -0.5, "Undervalued", weight 22%
• MVRV: score +0.08, "Neutral", weight 12%

Power Law model what is this?

• As of 11/3/2026 (day 6,513 since genesis): price $76,767.41; fair value $158,948.94; floor $66,758.55; top $476,846.81; deviation from fair -51.70%; sigma -1.76.

50 vs 200-day moving averages what is this?

• Current signal "Weak Bull Trend" → score 0.25
• Current price $76,767.41; 50 DMA $81,811.29; 200 DMA $72,795.56; 50-minus-200 gap $9,015.73

Spot Bitcoin ETF flows what is this?

• Oct 30, 2026: total -$664.6 M (IBIT -235.4, FBTC -202.6, GBTC -55, BTC -14.7, BITB -26.4, ARKB -130.4 — $M)
• Oct 29, 2026: total $34.1 M (IBIT 12.2, FBTC 10.1, GBTC -0.4, BTC -0.1, BITB 8.3, MSBT 3.9 — $M)
• Aggregate score -0.4 → "Bearish"
• Per timeframe: Daily -1 (weight 20%); Weekly -0.5 (weight 40%); Latest 10 Days Average 0 (weight 40%)
• Total BTC held by the spot ETFs: 1,283,763.9
• USD value of ETF holdings: $98.85 B
• ETF data last updated Nov 2, 2026

Monthly RSI what is this?

• Current RSI 32.59 → score -0.5, "Oversold"

Stablecoin supply what is this?

• General Score -0.65 → "Extremely Bearish"
• Per timeframe: Monthly -0.5 (weight 60%, "Bearish"); Weekly -1 (weight 30%, "Extremely Bearish"); Daily -0.5 (weight 10%, "Bearish")
• Latest supply 296.00 B USD on 11/3/2026: monthly change -3.61%; weekly change -1.84% (vs 10/27/2026); daily change -0.55%
• Recent flow -$11.1 B (since the previous monthly reading)

Liquidations (daily) what is this?

• 2026-11-03: longs 0.04 BTC ($3,007), shorts 0.00 BTC ($0), net 0.04 BTC ($3,007), dominant side LONGS, BTC price used $77,112.00
• 2026-11-02: longs 693.15 BTC ($53,449,907), shorts 166.10 BTC ($12,808,023), net 527.05 BTC ($40,641,884), dominant side LONGS, BTC price used $77,112.00

14-day RSI what is this?

• Current RSI 34.66 → score -0.5, "Oversold"

MVRV what is this?

• Latest update 2026-11-02: MVRV 1.420; Z-Score 0.735; BTC price $76,681; regime "Neutral"; indicator score +0.08

Geopolitics, macro & others (includes the Fear & Greed reading) what is this?

• Macro total -0.20 → "Neutral Macro Markets"
• VIX: 20.83 → "Neutral", weight 25%, weighted score 0
• STRC Par: $99.93 → "ATM Paused", weight 15%, weighted score 0
• SATA Par: $95.55 → "ATM Paused", weight 10%, weighted score -0.1
• Fear & Greed: 34 → "Fear", weight 10%, weighted score -0.05
• DXY: 101.66 → "Bearish", weight 30%, weighted score -0.15
• ISM-Manufacturing: 55.5 → "Bullish", weight 10%, weighted score 0.1

LPPLS bubble model (experimental, not part of the index)

• Last updated 2026-11-03 18:11: bubble confidence 8.95%; median critical time t_c 2027-03-13; days to t_c 129; 25–75% bracket 628–7020 days; regime "Dormant — no bubble forming", score +0.00

Live-only cards

• Live order book — bids and asks streamed from Coinbase, Kraken, Bitstamp and Bitfinex in the browser; it changes every second, so it is only on the home page. What is this?
• Liquidation heatmap — a model estimate of where leveraged positions would be force-closed, computed in the browser from BTC price history, open interest and funding rates. What is this?

How the General Index is built

• Nine indicators, each scored on its own tab of the Master File on the same scale: −1 to +1, where + means the reading is bullish for price and − bearish (steps of −1, −0.5, 0, +0.5, +1; the moving-average spread adds ±0.25 and MVRV interpolates).
• Each score is multiplied by its weight (the weights, shown in the table above, add up to 100%) and the results are added: General Score = Σ weight × score.
• The verdict sentence maps that score to five bands, from "deeply undervalued" to "deeply overvalued".
• Sources: daily BTC closes since 2010 in the Master File; ETF flows for the 13 US spot funds; stablecoin market cap (DefiLlama); MVRV (bitcoin-data.com); liquidations on BTC perpetual futures; macro readings (VIX, DXY and others) and the crypto Fear & Greed index.

What our own validation found

• The index describes where price sits relative to its own history. It is not a forecast: back-testing 2017–2026 found no measurable predictive relationship between the index and forward returns.
• Power Law, the moving averages and Monthly RSI largely measure one thing — how stretched price is versus its trend.
• About 25% of the weight (Macro, ETF flows, Stablecoin supply, Perps) has too little history to validate.
• A ±30% change in the weights flips the published band label about half the time.

The lessons behind every reading are on the Learn page.