Signal Archive
Every night at 23:00 UTC we save the day's verdict and its nine indicators. Nothing here is edited afterwards — it is our public record. Tap a day to see what drove it.
A short record proves nothing on its own: our own back-test (2017–2026) found no reliable link between the index and future prices. Read it as a diary of market conditions, not a scorecard of predictions.
Live record
—Days recorded
—Independent 90-day windows
—Integrity chain
Index (left axis) and BTC price (right axis)
What happened next
Bitcoin's return after each verdict, from the live record only. Compare every row with "all days".
Day by day
DateVerdictBTC priceAfter 30 daysAfter 90 days
Nov 3, 2026Undervalued$76,836——
General Index -0.23
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSIOversold
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Nov 2, 2026Undervalued$76,683——
General Index -0.23
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSIOversold
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Nov 1, 2026Undervalued$77,680——
General Index -0.22
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSIOversold
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 31, 2026Around fair value$77,403——
General Index 0.00
- Power LawUndervalued
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 30, 2026Around fair value$76,767——
General Index -0.19
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSIOversold
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 29, 2026Around fair value$78,848——
General Index -0.14
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsBullish
Oct 28, 2026Around fair value$81,103——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 27, 2026Around fair value$80,779——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 26, 2026Around fair value$79,840——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 25, 2026Around fair value$80,351——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 24, 2026Around fair value$80,527——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 23, 2026Around fair value$80,770——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 22, 2026Around fair value———
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 21, 2026Around fair value$84,390——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 20, 2026Around fair value$82,992——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 19, 2026Undervalued$81,961——
General Index -0.20
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyBearish
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 18, 2026Undervalued$81,664——
General Index -0.21
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 17, 2026Undervalued$81,226——
General Index -0.21
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 16, 2026Undervalued$81,687——
General Index -0.22
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 15, 2026Around fair value$82,328——
General Index -0.20
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 14, 2026Around fair value$81,570——
General Index -0.18
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 13, 2026Around fair value$83,414——
General Index -0.16
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 12, 2026Around fair value$82,105——
General Index -0.16
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 11, 2026Around fair value$83,591——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 10, 2026Around fair value$83,020——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 9, 2026Around fair value$82,552——
General Index -0.14
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 8, 2026Around fair value$81,858——
General Index -0.16
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 7, 2026Around fair value$83,186——
General Index -0.10
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 6, 2026Around fair value$85,527——
General Index -0.08
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 5, 2026Around fair value$85,825——
General Index -0.06
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 4, 2026Around fair value$86,472——
General Index -0.07
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 3, 2026Around fair value$84,722——
General Index 0.00
- Power LawUndervalued
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 2, 2026Around fair value$84,504——
General Index -0.05
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Oct 1, 2026Around fair value$84,821——
General Index -0.05
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 30, 2026Around fair value$83,545——
General Index -0.04
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 29, 2026Around fair value$83,619——
General Index -0.07
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bull Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 28, 2026Around fair value$83,521——
General Index -0.11
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 27, 2026Around fair value$84,478——
General Index -0.10
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 26, 2026Around fair value$84,405——
General Index -0.10
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 25, 2026Around fair value$84,039——
General Index -0.10
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 24, 2026Around fair value$84,358——
General Index -0.11
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 23, 2026Around fair value$84,412——
General Index -0.10
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 22, 2026Around fair value$86,187——
General Index -0.14
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 21, 2026Around fair value$86,593——
General Index -0.18
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 20, 2026Undervalued$81,163——
General Index -0.21
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 19, 2026Undervalued$81,292——
General Index -0.21
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 18, 2026Undervalued$80,890——
General Index -0.22
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBearish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 17, 2026Undervalued$76,409——
General Index -0.21
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 16, 2026Undervalued$76,132——
General Index -0.31
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIExtremely Oversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 15, 2026Around fair value$75,645——
General Index -0.19
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 14, 2026Around fair value$78,157——
General Index -0.18
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 13, 2026Around fair value$76,785——
General Index -0.19
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 12, 2026Around fair value$77,267——
General Index -0.19
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowNeutral
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 11, 2026Around fair value$77,188——
General Index -0.15
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSINeutral
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 10, 2026Around fair value$76,573——
General Index -0.13
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 9, 2026Around fair value$78,253——
General Index -0.13
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 8, 2026Around fair value$78,418——
General Index 0.00
- Power LawUndervalued
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 7, 2026Around fair value$79,123——
General Index -0.11
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Transition
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 6, 2026Around fair value$80,381——
General Index -0.14
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 5, 2026Around fair value$79,854——
General Index -0.16
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 4, 2026Around fair value$79,645——
General Index -0.15
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersBullish Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowBullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 3, 2026Around fair value$81,253——
General Index -0.15
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 2, 2026Around fair value$77,277——
General Index -0.17
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSIOversold
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Sep 1, 2026Around fair value$77,813——
General Index -0.03
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSINeutral
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Aug 31, 2026Around fair value$78,525——
General Index -0.05
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSINeutral
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Aug 30, 2026Around fair value$77,995——
General Index -0.04
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSINeutral
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIExtremely Overbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Aug 29, 2026Around fair value$78,201——
General Index -0.05
- Power LawUndervalued
- 50 vs 200 (DMA)Weak Bear Trend
- Monthly RSINeutral
- MVRVNeutral
- Geopolitics, Macro & OthersNeutral Macro Markets
- ETFs FlowExtremely Bullish
- Stablecoin SupplyNeutral
- 14 Days RSIOverbought
- Perps & FundingsNeutral
Reconstructed history, 2017–2026
Rebuilt after the fact from the model's own scoring code, for the 70% of the index with enough history (Power Law, 50/200 DMA, Monthly RSI, MVRV). It is not a live record: nobody saw these readings at the time.
Read down the mean column: higher readings preceded lower returns. The index described where price sat; it did not forecast where it went.
Method, integrity, changes
How a record is made
At 23:00 UTC a scheduled job reads the nine indicator scores and weights from the model sheet, the composite they add up to, and Bitcoin's price, and stores them once. A day is never rewritten: if the job runs twice, the second run is discarded. "After 30 / 90 days" uses the daily close from the same series every chart on this site uses.
Tamper evidence
Each record carries the SHA-256 hash of the previous record's exact stored bytes, so changing or removing any past day breaks every link after it. Anyone can check: download the raw records, hash each line, and compare it with the next line's "prev". Note today's head hash and you can verify, at any later date, that nothing before it changed.
Model versions
- gi-1 — the General Index as published in the model sheet: nine indicators, weights 22 / 18 / 18 / 12 / 10 / 8 / 6 / 5 / 1, shown with condition wording (not outlook) and band edges +0.30 / +0.15 / −0.20 / −0.45. Every record names its version; a change to the model starts a new one.
Known weaknesses
- A quarter of the weight (Macro, ETF flow, stablecoin supply, perps) has no usable history, so it could not be back-tested.
- Power Law, 50/200 DMA, Monthly RSI and MVRV largely measure one thing: how far price sits from its trend. Nine inputs are closer to two.
- In the reconstruction, Monthly RSI never once scored negative, and the "deeply undervalued" band never occurred.